Courtland Sutton Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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NFL · Player Props

Courtland Sutton

WR · Denver Broncos

Receptions

Denver Broncos vs Jacksonville Jaguars · Week 2, 2026

Updated Sep 20, 2026 4:07 PM EST

Analysis

Courtland Sutton Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+111/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -138 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Broncos to pass on 59.9% of their plays: the 8th-highest rate on the slate this week.
Our trusted projections expect the Broncos to call the 5th-most total plays on the slate this week with 66.3 plays, based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
The 8th-highest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Denver Broncos since the start of last season (a monstrous 58.7 per game on average).
Opposing teams have averaged 36.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars defense since the start of last season: most in the NFL.
With an impressive 92.0% Route% (91st percentile) since the start of last season, Courtland Sutton places as one of the wide receivers with the biggest workloads in football.

Favors Under

The Jaguars pass defense has allowed the 7th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (61.8%) vs. wideouts since the start of last season (61.8%).
The Jacksonville Jaguars linebackers grade out as the 3rd-best collection of LBs in the league since the start of last season in covering receivers.