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Courtland Sutton

Courtland Sutton Receptions
Player Prop Week 9

Baltimore Ravens vs Denver Broncos

Courtland Sutton Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-160/+130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -150 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ +130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Broncos are a giant 9-point underdog this week, likely creating an extreme passing game script.

Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Broncos to pass on 59.8% of their downs: the 9th-greatest clip among all teams this week.

Our trusted projections expect the Denver Broncos to be the 5th-quickest paced defense in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the moment, with opposing offenses averaging 27.28 seconds per snap.

Opposing QBs have averaged 41.0 pass attempts per game versus the Ravens defense this year: 2nd-most in the league.

The model projects Courtland Sutton to earn 7.5 targets this week, on balance, ranking him in the 84th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Courtland Sutton's sure-handedness have diminished this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate falling off from 68.4% to 51.9%.

The Baltimore Ravens safeties profile as the 3rd-best safety corps in the league this year when it comes to pass rush.

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