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Courtland Sutton

Courtland Sutton Receptions
Player Prop Week 8

Denver Broncos vs Carolina Panthers

Courtland Sutton Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+110/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -145.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Our trusted projections expect the Denver Broncos to be the 4th-fastest paced defense in football (in a neutral context) at the present time, with opposing offenses averaging 27.37 seconds per play.

Calm weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being predicted in this game) typically cause better passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher pass volume, and lower rush volume.

Courtland Sutton ranks in the 88th percentile when it comes to WR WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that examines high-value offensive usage) with a colossal 59.7 mark this year.

When it comes to pocket protection (and the strong impact it has on all passing offense stats), the O-line of the Broncos grades out as the 5th-best in the league this year.

The Carolina Panthers pass defense has conceded the 5th-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (69.6%) vs. wideouts this year (69.6%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

An extreme running game script is indicated by the Broncos being a massive 13-point favorite in this game.

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Denver Broncos to pass on 50.6% of their opportunities: the 3rd-lowest frequency on the slate this week.

Opposing QBs teams have been disinclined to test the pass defense of the Panthers, totaling the 5th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a mere 29.6 per game) this year.

Courtland Sutton's possession skills have diminished this season, with his Adjusted Catch% shrinking from 68.4% to 48.2%.

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