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Courtland Sutton

Courtland Sutton Receptions
Player Prop Week 7

New Orleans Saints vs Denver Broncos

Courtland Sutton Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-169/+130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -137 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -169.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A throwing game script is implied by the Broncos being a -3.5-point underdog in this week's contest.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is expected by the projection model to have 134.3 plays on offense called: the 3rd-most among all games this week.

The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may go down.

Opposing QBs have averaged 40.5 pass attempts per game vs. the New Orleans Saints defense this year: 4th-most in football.

This week, Courtland Sutton is anticipated by the model to position himself in the 88th percentile among wide receivers with 8.2 targets.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Courtland Sutton's receiving reliability have worsened this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate shrinking from 68.4% to 48.2%.

This year, the formidable Saints defense has given up a paltry 61.8% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing wide receivers: the 10th-best rate in the NFL.

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