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Courtland Sutton

Courtland Sutton Receptions
Player Prop Week 6

Denver Broncos vs Los Angeles Chargers

Courtland Sutton Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+130/-170).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -146 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -170.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

In this contest, Courtland Sutton is predicted by the model to position himself in the 90th percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 8.3 targets.

Courtland Sutton's 71.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that examines high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly higher this season than it was last season at 60.1.

The Denver Broncos O-line grades out as the 7th-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive impact on all pass game stats across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Broncos are expected by the projection model to call only 62.8 plays on offense in this game: the 7th-lowest number on the slate this week.

Opposing teams have averaged 30.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Chargers defense this year: 8th-fewest in the league.

Courtland Sutton's 45.0% Adjusted Completion Rate this season conveys a meaningful decline in his pass-catching skills over last season's 68.4% rate.

Since the start of last season, the tough Los Angeles Chargers defense has surrendered a mere 63.4% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing WRs: the 10th-lowest rate in the NFL.

The Los Angeles cornerbacks project as the 5th-best collection of CBs in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

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