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Courtland Sutton

Courtland Sutton Receptions
Player Prop Week 5

Denver Broncos vs Las Vegas Raiders

Courtland Sutton Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+135/-180).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -155 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects the Denver Broncos to be the 4th-fastest paced defense in the league (context-neutralized) at the moment, with opposing offenses averaging 27.81 seconds per play.

In this week's contest, Courtland Sutton is expected by the model to place in the 89th percentile among wide receivers with 8.0 targets.

Courtland Sutton's 74.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that weighs high-value offensive volume) has been significantly higher this season than it was last season at 60.1.

When talking about pass protection (and the positive impact it has on all pass attack stats), the offensive line of the Denver Broncos grades out as the 8th-best in football this year.

When it comes to linebackers in defending receivers, Las Vegas's collection of LBs has been dreadful this year, projecting as the worst in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Broncos to pass on 53.9% of their plays: the 6th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.

Courtland Sutton's receiving reliability have diminished this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate falling off from 68.4% to 46.2%.

More Courtland Sutton Player Props

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