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Courtland Sutton

Courtland Sutton Receptions
Player Prop Week 3

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Denver Broncos

Courtland Sutton Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +115 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A passing game script is implied by the Broncos being a -3.5-point underdog in this week's contest.

The leading projections forecast the Broncos offense to be the 9th-quickest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 27.33 seconds per play.

Opposing QBs have averaged 37.3 pass attempts per game against the Buccaneers defense since the start of last season: 3rd-most in the league.

Courtland Sutton has run a route on 92.4% of his offense's dropbacks since the start of last season, putting him in the 90th percentile among wideouts.

In this week's game, Courtland Sutton is predicted by our trusted projection set to finish in the 83rd percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 7.4 targets.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect the Denver Broncos to be the 10th-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 55.1% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

Courtland Sutton's ball-catching skills have worsened this season, with his Adjusted Completion% falling off from 68.4% to 38.9%.

When it comes to linebackers pass-rushing, Tampa Bay's LB corps has been excellent since the start of last season, projecting as the 5th-best in football.

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