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Courtland Sutton

Courtland Sutton Receptions
Player Prop Week 2

Denver Broncos vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Courtland Sutton Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-155/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -137 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -155.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A throwing game script is implied by the Broncos being a -3-point underdog in this week's contest.

At a mere 27.51 seconds per play, the Denver Broncos offense checks in as the 8th-quickest paced in football (context-neutralized) since the start of last season.

Courtland Sutton has run a route on 92.3% of his offense's dropbacks since the start of last season, placing him in the 91st percentile when it comes to wideouts.

The predictive model expects Courtland Sutton to accrue 7.7 targets this week, on balance, ranking him in the 87th percentile when it comes to WRs.

As it relates to pocket protection (and the positive effect it has on all pass attack statistics), the O-line of the Denver Broncos profiles as the 2nd-best in the NFL since the start of last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Broncos to pass on 55.5% of their downs: the 9th-lowest rate among all teams this week.

Opposing QBs have averaged 32.2 pass attempts per game vs. the Pittsburgh Steelers defense since the start of last season: 9th-fewest in the league.

Courtland Sutton's 35.1% Adjusted Completion% this season represents a noteable decline in his pass-catching prowess over last season's 68.4% rate.

The Pittsburgh Steelers pass defense has surrendered the 7th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (61.6%) to wideouts since the start of last season (61.6%).

The Steelers safeties project as the 4th-best unit in the NFL since the start of last season in pass coverage.

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