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Courtland Sutton

Courtland Sutton Receptions
Player Prop Week 1

Seattle Seahawks vs Denver Broncos

 
 
 
Courtland Sutton Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -165 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ +105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game's line suggests a passing game script for the Broncos, who are -4.5-point underdogs.
  • Courtland Sutton has run a route on 92.1% of his team's dropbacks last year, placing him in the 90th percentile among wide receivers.
  • The predictive model expects Courtland Sutton to notch 7.3 targets in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 84th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.
  • In regards to protecting the passer (and the strong effect it has on all pass game metrics), the offensive line of the Broncos ranks as the 2nd-best in football last year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Denver Broncos to pass on 54.3% of their opportunities: the 4th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is anticipated by the predictive model to have just 125.1 offensive plays called: the 2nd-lowest number on the slate this week.
  • The 4th-smallest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Denver Broncos last year (just 54.8 per game on average).
  • When it comes to cornerbacks in defending receivers, Seattle's unit has been very good last year, projecting as the 6th-best in football.

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