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Courtland Sutton

Courtland Sutton Receptions
Player Prop Week 4

Chicago Bears vs Denver Broncos

 
 
 
Courtland Sutton Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+107/-139).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +114 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +107.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The projections expect Courtland Sutton to total 7.0 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking in the 78th percentile when it comes to wideouts.
  • Courtland Sutton has been a big part of his team's passing offense, earning a Target Share of 24.3% since the start of last season, which places him in the 86th percentile among WRs.
  • Courtland Sutton has been among the best WRs in the league since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 4.4 receptions per game while grading out in the 79th percentile.
  • Courtland Sutton's possession skills have gotten better this season, with his Completion% rising from 59.4% to 77.3%.
  • The Bears pass defense has been gouged for the 9th-highest Completion% in football (68.3%) vs. wide receivers since the start of last season (68.3%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Broncos are a 3-point favorite in this game, which points towards a rushing game script.
  • The projections expect the Denver Broncos as the 7th-least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 55.1% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The leading projections forecast the Broncos to run the 3rd-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 59.9 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 28.3 pass attempts per game versus the Chicago Bears defense since the start of last season: fewest in the NFL.

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