Courtland Sutton Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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NFL · Player Props

Courtland Sutton

WR · Denver Broncos

Receiving Yards

Denver Broncos vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 6, 2026

Updated Oct 15, 2026 8:22 PM EST

Analysis

Courtland Sutton Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 34.5 (+109/-137).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 89.5 @ 0 before it was bet down to 34.5 @ -137.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In terms of a defense's effect on tempo, at 28.04 seconds per play, the model projects the Denver Broncos to be the 9th-quickest in football (adjusted for context) at the moment.
The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (4-mph wind) being called for in this game, while ground volume may suffer.
Courtland Sutton's skills in picking up extra yardage have gotten a boost this season, notching 1.73 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a measly 0.00 rate last season.

Favors Under

The Broncos have been the 6th-least pass-centric team in the NFL (adjusted for context) this year with a 57.9% pass rate.
Courtland Sutton has compiled significantly fewer air yards this year (58.0 per game) than he did last year (98.0 per game).
Courtland Sutton's 48.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that weighs high-value offensive usage) has been substantially worse this year than it was last year at 58.2.
When talking about pass protection (and the impact it has on all passing attack statistics), the O-line of the Denver Broncos grades out as the 3rd-worst in the NFL this year.
Courtland Sutton's 26.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this year signifies a noteable decrease in his receiving talent over last year's 50.0 mark.