Courtland Sutton Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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NFL · Player Props

Courtland Sutton

WR · Denver Broncos

Receiving Yards

Denver Broncos vs Los Angeles Rams · Week 3, 2026

Updated Sep 27, 2026 8:22 PM EST

Analysis

Courtland Sutton Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 36.5 (-104/-104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 41.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 36.5 @ -104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Broncos to pass on 61.8% of their opportunities: the 3rd-greatest rate among all teams this week.
The model projects this game to see the 3rd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 130.1 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The 9th-most plays in the league have been run by the Denver Broncos since the start of last season (a colossal 58.4 per game on average).
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 34.2 pass attempts per game vs. the Rams defense since the start of last season: 6th-most in the league.
Courtland Sutton has run a route on 91.7% of his team's passing plays since the start of last season, placing him in the 92nd percentile when it comes to wideouts.

Favors Under

With a lackluster 0.08 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (24th percentile) since the start of last season, Courtland Sutton ranks as one of the top pass-catching WRs in the league in the open field.
The Los Angeles Rams pass defense has been quite strong when opposing WRs have gotten into space, giving up an average of 0.27 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 9th-fewest in the NFL.
As it relates to safeties in defending receivers, Los Angeles's collection of safeties has been exceptional since the start of last season, ranking as the 2nd-best in the NFL.