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Courtland Sutton

Courtland Sutton Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Denver Broncos vs Los Angeles Chargers

Courtland Sutton Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 49.5 (-100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 44.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 49.5 @ -100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

In this contest, Courtland Sutton is predicted by the model to position himself in the 90th percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 8.3 targets.

Courtland Sutton has accumulated many more air yards this season (109.0 per game) than he did last season (76.0 per game).

Courtland Sutton's 71.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that examines high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly higher this season than it was last season at 60.1.

The Denver Broncos O-line grades out as the 7th-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive impact on all pass game stats across the board.

The Chargers pass defense has exhibited weak efficiency vs. wide receivers since the start of last season, allowing 9.06 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 3rd-most in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Broncos are expected by the projection model to call only 62.8 plays on offense in this game: the 7th-lowest number on the slate this week.

Opposing teams have averaged 30.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Chargers defense this year: 8th-fewest in the league.

Courtland Sutton's 45.0% Adjusted Completion Rate this season conveys a meaningful decline in his pass-catching skills over last season's 68.4% rate.

Courtland Sutton's 6.7 adjusted yards per target this season shows a substantial decrease in his receiving ability over last season's 9.6 mark.

Courtland Sutton's 1.53 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season reflects an impressive decrease in his effectiveness in space over last season's 2.6% figure.

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