My Account Log Out

reorder

Courtland Sutton

Courtland Sutton Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Denver Broncos vs Las Vegas Raiders

Courtland Sutton Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 47.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects the Denver Broncos to be the 4th-fastest paced defense in the league (context-neutralized) at the moment, with opposing offenses averaging 27.81 seconds per play.

In this week's contest, Courtland Sutton is expected by the model to place in the 89th percentile among wide receivers with 8.0 targets.

Courtland Sutton has put up quite a few more air yards this season (120.0 per game) than he did last season (76.0 per game).

Courtland Sutton's 74.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that weighs high-value offensive volume) has been significantly higher this season than it was last season at 60.1.

When talking about pass protection (and the positive impact it has on all pass attack stats), the offensive line of the Denver Broncos grades out as the 8th-best in football this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Broncos to pass on 53.9% of their plays: the 6th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.

Courtland Sutton's receiving reliability have diminished this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate falling off from 68.4% to 46.2%.

Courtland Sutton's 6.7 adjusted yards per target this season represents a meaningful diminishment in his pass-catching talent over last season's 9.6 mark.

Courtland Sutton's talent in picking up extra yardage have tailed off this season, averaging a mere 1.47 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 2.59 rate last season.

This year, the daunting Las Vegas Raiders pass defense has allowed the 10th-least yards-after-the-catch in football to opposing wide receivers: a paltry 3.3 YAC.

More Courtland Sutton Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™