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Courtland Sutton

Courtland Sutton Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 4

New York Jets vs Denver Broncos

Courtland Sutton Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 40.5 (-106/-129).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 41.5 @ -119 before it was bet down to 40.5 @ -129.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At a -6-point disadvantage, the Broncos are underdogs in this week's game, indicating more of an emphasis on throwing than their typical game plan.

The Broncos have been the 5th-most pass-oriented offense in football (adjusted for context) this year with a 65.6% pass rate.

The projections expect the Broncos offense to be the 10th-quickest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 27.65 seconds per snap.

This week, Courtland Sutton is expected by the projection model to rank in the 88th percentile when it comes to WRs with 7.8 targets.

Courtland Sutton has accrued a staggering 81.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 86th percentile when it comes to WRs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Opposing teams teams have been reluctant to lean on the pass against the Jets, totaling the 4th-fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 30.5 per game) since the start of last season.

Courtland Sutton's 48.8% Adjusted Catch% this season reflects a material decline in his receiving ability over last season's 68.4% figure.

Courtland Sutton's pass-catching efficiency has diminished this season, totaling just 6.01 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a 9.61 rate last season.

Courtland Sutton's talent in picking up extra yardage have diminished this season, notching a mere 0.75 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 2.59 rate last season.

Since the start of last season, the strong New York Jets defense has surrendered a feeble 99.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing wideouts: the best in the league.

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