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Courtland Sutton

Courtland Sutton Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Denver Broncos

Courtland Sutton Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 40.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 35.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 40.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A passing game script is implied by the Broncos being a -3.5-point underdog in this week's contest.

The leading projections forecast the Broncos offense to be the 9th-quickest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 27.33 seconds per play.

Opposing QBs have averaged 37.3 pass attempts per game against the Buccaneers defense since the start of last season: 3rd-most in the league.

Courtland Sutton has run a route on 92.4% of his offense's dropbacks since the start of last season, putting him in the 90th percentile among wideouts.

In this week's game, Courtland Sutton is predicted by our trusted projection set to finish in the 83rd percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 7.4 targets.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect the Denver Broncos to be the 10th-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 55.1% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

Courtland Sutton's ball-catching skills have worsened this season, with his Adjusted Completion% falling off from 68.4% to 38.9%.

Courtland Sutton's receiving efficiency has worsened this season, totaling just 4.65 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a 9.61 figure last season.

With a bad 2.52 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (12th percentile) since the start of last season, Courtland Sutton has been as one of the best wide receivers in the game in the NFL in picking up extra yardage.

When it comes to linebackers pass-rushing, Tampa Bay's LB corps has been excellent since the start of last season, projecting as the 5th-best in football.

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