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Courtland Sutton

Courtland Sutton Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Denver Broncos vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Courtland Sutton Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 40.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 38.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 40.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A throwing game script is implied by the Broncos being a -3-point underdog in this week's contest.

At a mere 27.51 seconds per play, the Denver Broncos offense checks in as the 8th-quickest paced in football (context-neutralized) since the start of last season.

Courtland Sutton has run a route on 92.3% of his offense's dropbacks since the start of last season, placing him in the 91st percentile when it comes to wideouts.

The predictive model expects Courtland Sutton to accrue 7.7 targets this week, on balance, ranking him in the 87th percentile when it comes to WRs.

In regards to air yards, Courtland Sutton ranks in the towering 85th percentile among WRs since the start of last season, accumulating a superb 80.0 per game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Broncos to pass on 55.5% of their downs: the 9th-lowest rate among all teams this week.

Opposing QBs have averaged 32.2 pass attempts per game vs. the Pittsburgh Steelers defense since the start of last season: 9th-fewest in the league.

Courtland Sutton's 35.1% Adjusted Completion% this season represents a noteable decline in his pass-catching prowess over last season's 68.4% rate.

Courtland Sutton's pass-catching efficiency has tailed off this season, averaging just 4.23 adjusted yards-per-target vs a 9.61 figure last season.

Courtland Sutton comes in as one of the weakest WRs in football at grinding out extra yardage, averaging a mere 2.52 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while checking in at the 11th percentile.

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