Corey Davis Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Corey Davis

NFL · Player Props

Corey Davis

WR · New York Jets

Receptions

Cleveland Browns vs New York Jets · Week 2, 2022

Updated Sep 18, 2022 7:30 PM EST

Analysis

Corey Davis Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+111/-147).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -147.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Jets are a 6-point underdog this week, indicating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the New York Jets to be the 2nd-least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 62.7% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Corey Davis's 53.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) grades out among the league leaders: 85th percentile for wide receivers.
Corey Davis has been among the top WRs in the game since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 4.0 receptions per game while grading out in the 78th percentile.
The New York Jets O-line has afforded their quarterback 2.69 seconds before the pass (5th-best in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a positive effect on all passing offense statistics across the board.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Jets to call the 7th-least plays on offense on the slate this week with 60.7 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The New York Jets have run the 10th-least plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a mere 61.4 plays per game.
The New York Jets offensive line ranks as the 10th-worst in the league since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful impact on all pass attack metrics across the board.
The Cleveland Browns pass defense has yielded the 9th-lowest Completion% in football (64.6%) to wideouts since the start of last season (64.6%).
The Cleveland Browns linebackers grade out as the best group of LBs in the NFL since the start of last season in covering receivers.

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