Corey Davis Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Corey Davis

NFL · Player Props

Corey Davis

WR · New York Jets

Receiving Yards

Green Bay Packers vs New York Jets · Week 6, 2022

Updated Oct 16, 2022 11:51 PM EST

Analysis

Corey Davis Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 34.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 35.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 34.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Jets are an enormous 7.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the New York Jets as the 6th-most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 62.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The New York Jets have run the 4th-most plays in football this year, averaging a colossal 65.0 plays per game.
Corey Davis has been among the leading wide receivers in the game this year, averaging an impressive 57.0 yards per game while checking in at the 79th percentile.
Corey Davis's ball-catching skills have been refined this season, with his Completion% rising from 57.4% to 67.2%.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Jets to run the 2nd-least plays on offense among all teams this week with 63.1 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 29.2 pass attempts per game against the Green Bay Packers defense this year: least in the NFL.
Corey Davis has posted significantly fewer air yards this year (85.0 per game) than he did last year (95.0 per game).
Corey Davis's 39.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially worse this season than it was last season at 53.1.
The New York Jets offensive line profiles as the 9th-worst in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful effect on all passing game statistics across the board.

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