Corey Davis Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Corey Davis

NFL · Player Props

Corey Davis

WR · New York Jets

Receiving TD

Cleveland Browns vs New York Jets · Week 2, 2022

Updated Sep 18, 2022 7:30 PM EST

Analysis

Corey Davis Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+340/-648).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +349 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +340.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Jets are a 6-point underdog this week, indicating a passing game script.
Corey Davis has compiled a colossal 97.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 95th percentile among wide receivers.
Corey Davis's 53.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) grades out among the league leaders: 85th percentile for wide receivers.
Corey Davis grades out in the 89th percentile among WRs when it comes to catching TDs since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 0.40 per game.
The New York Jets O-line has afforded their quarterback 2.69 seconds before the pass (5th-best in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a positive effect on all passing offense statistics across the board.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Jets to call the 7th-least plays on offense on the slate this week with 60.7 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The New York Jets have run the 10th-least plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a mere 61.4 plays per game.
The New York Jets offensive line ranks as the 10th-worst in the league since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful impact on all pass attack metrics across the board.
The Cleveland Browns pass defense has yielded the 9th-lowest Completion% in football (64.6%) to wideouts since the start of last season (64.6%).
The Cleveland Browns linebackers grade out as the best group of LBs in the NFL since the start of last season in covering receivers.

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