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Corey Davis

Corey Davis Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 12

New York Jets vs Chicago Bears

Corey Davis Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+402/-860).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -812 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -860.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Chicago Bears pass defense has allowed the 2nd-highest Completion% in the NFL (71.6%) vs. wideouts this year (71.6%).

The New York Jets offensive line has allowed their QB 2.69 seconds before the pass (5th-best in football since the start of last season), which has a strong effect on all passing offense stats across the board.

The Chicago Bears pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks 2.51 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 9th-slowest in football since the start of last season.

The New York Jets have gone for it on 4th down 22.0% of the time since the start of last season (10th-most in the NFL), which typically means more offensive volume, more TD potential, and higher offensive stats across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Jets are a 6.5-point favorite in this game, likely creating a rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 4th-least plays run out of all the games this week at 126.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Opposing QBs have averaged 26.3 pass attempts per game vs. the Chicago Bears defense this year: least in the NFL.

The New York Jets O-line ranks as the 8th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful impact on all passing offense metrics across the board.

The Chicago Bears defense has conceded the 8th-least passing TDs in the league to wideouts: 0.64 per game this year.

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