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Corey Davis

Corey Davis Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 1

New York Jets vs Baltimore Ravens

Corey Davis Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+267/-447).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +312 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +267.
  • The Jets are a 6.5-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script.
  • The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • Corey Davis has been an integral part of his team's passing attack near the end zone, garnering a Red Zone Target Share of 17.9% since the start of last season, which ranks him in the 84th percentile among wideouts.
  • Corey Davis has put up a colossal 95.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 93rd percentile among wide receivers.
  • Corey Davis's 53.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks him among the best in the league: 89th percentile for wide receivers.

  • THE BLITZ projects the Jets to run the 8th-least plays on offense among all teams this week with 60.6 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The New York Jets have called the 5th-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a measly 60.4 plays per game.
  • Corey Davis has been among the most unreliable receivers in football, hauling in just 57.4% of balls thrown his way since the start of last season, checking in at the 11th percentile among wideouts
  • The Baltimore Ravens pass defense has surrendered the 8th-lowest Completion% in the league (63.5%) versus wideouts since the start of last season (63.5%).
  • The Baltimore Ravens pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing QBs just 2.39 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 5th-best in the league since the start of last season.

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