Cordarrelle Patterson Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Cordarrelle Patterson

NFL · Player Props

Cordarrelle Patterson

RB · Atlanta Falcons

Rushing Yards

Los Angeles Rams vs Atlanta Falcons · Week 2, 2022

Updated Sep 18, 2022 11:25 PM UTC

Analysis

Cordarrelle Patterson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 48.5 (+100/-137).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 52.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 48.5 @ -137.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons to be the 7th-most run-heavy team in football (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 41.3% run rate.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 130.2 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Cordarrelle Patterson to earn 13.8 rush attempts in this contest, on average, ranking in the 87th percentile among running backs.
Cordarrelle Patterson has been a more important option in his team's run game this year (57.9% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last year (45.4%).
Cordarrelle Patterson's ground effectiveness has improved this year, totaling 5.83 yards-per-carry compared to just 3.95 mark last year.

Favors Under

The Falcons are a huge 10.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.
The Atlanta Falcons have called the 2nd-least plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a measly 59.2 plays per game.
The weather report calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
The Los Angeles Rams defense has had the 4th-best efficiency against opposing run games since the start of last season, giving up just 4.04 yards-per-carry.
The Los Angeles Rams defensive ends rank as the best unit in football since the start of last season when it comes to defending the run.

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