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Cordarrelle Patterson

Cordarrelle Patterson Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Los Angeles Rams vs Atlanta Falcons

 
 
 
Cordarrelle Patterson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 48.5 (+100/-137).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 52.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 48.5 @ -137.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons to be the 7th-most run-heavy team in football (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 41.3% run rate.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 130.2 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects Cordarrelle Patterson to earn 13.8 rush attempts in this contest, on average, ranking in the 87th percentile among running backs.
  • Cordarrelle Patterson has been a more important option in his team's run game this year (57.9% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last year (45.4%).
  • Cordarrelle Patterson's ground effectiveness has improved this year, totaling 5.83 yards-per-carry compared to just 3.95 mark last year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Falcons are a huge 10.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.
  • The Atlanta Falcons have called the 2nd-least plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a measly 59.2 plays per game.
  • The weather report calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • The Los Angeles Rams defense has had the 4th-best efficiency against opposing run games since the start of last season, giving up just 4.04 yards-per-carry.
  • The Los Angeles Rams defensive ends rank as the best unit in football since the start of last season when it comes to defending the run.

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