Cordarrelle Patterson Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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Cordarrelle Patterson

NFL · Player Props

Cordarrelle Patterson

RB · Atlanta Falcons

Receptions

Atlanta Falcons vs Cleveland Browns · Week 4, 2022

Updated Oct 2, 2022 11:20 PM UTC

Analysis

Cordarrelle Patterson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-110/-122).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -122.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Cordarrelle Patterson to accrue 3.3 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking in the 76th percentile among RBs.
Cordarrelle Patterson's 22.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) grades out among the league leaders: 95th percentile for RBs.
Cordarrelle Patterson has been among the leading pass-game RBs since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 3.0 receptions per game while ranking in the 91st percentile.
The Cleveland Browns pass defense has allowed the 4th-highest Completion% in football (86.5%) versus RBs since the start of last season (86.5%).

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons to be the 7th-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 54.4% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Atlanta Falcons have called the 2nd-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a mere 55.1 plays per game.
The Atlanta Falcons O-line ranks as the 5th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a harmful effect on all pass attack statistics across the board.
Cordarrelle Patterson's receiving reliability have tailed off this year, with his Completion% falling off from 83.1% to 58.5%.
The Cleveland Browns linebackers rank as the best unit in the league since the start of last season in covering receivers.

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