Cordarrelle Patterson Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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Cordarrelle Patterson

NFL · Player Props

Cordarrelle Patterson

RB · Atlanta Falcons

Receptions

Atlanta Falcons vs New Orleans Saints · Week 1, 2022

Updated Sep 11, 2022 11:34 PM UTC

Analysis

Cordarrelle Patterson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-175/+130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -140 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -175.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Falcons are a 5.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to a passing game script.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
THE BLITZ projects Cordarrelle Patterson to earn 4.6 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking in the 92nd percentile among RBs.
Cordarrelle Patterson's 23.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) puts him in the company of the best in the league: 97th percentile for running backs.
Cordarrelle Patterson has been among the top pass-catching RBs since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 3.3 receptions per game while grading out in the 92nd percentile.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons as the 6th-least pass-oriented team in football (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 59.2% pass rate.
The Atlanta Falcons have run the 2nd-least plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a lowly 58.5 plays per game.
The Atlanta Falcons offensive line grades out as the 3rd-worst in the league since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful effect on all pass game statistics across the board.
The New Orleans Saints pass defense has surrendered the 2nd-lowest Completion% in the NFL (71.9%) versus running backs since the start of last season (71.9%).
The New Orleans Saints linebackers grade out as the 4th-best LB corps in football since the start of last season in pass coverage.

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