Cordarrelle Patterson Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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NFL · Player Props

Cordarrelle Patterson

RB · Atlanta Falcons

Receiving Yards

Atlanta Falcons vs Cleveland Browns · Week 4, 2022

Updated Oct 2, 2022 11:20 PM UTC

Analysis

Cordarrelle Patterson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Cordarrelle Patterson to accrue 3.3 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking in the 76th percentile among RBs.
Cordarrelle Patterson has put up a whopping 14.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 99th percentile among running backs. (That may not sound like a lot, but most RBs have negative air yards because they are targeted behind the line of scrimmage).
Cordarrelle Patterson's 22.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) grades out among the league leaders: 95th percentile for RBs.
Cordarrelle Patterson has been among the top pass-catching RBs since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 29.0 yards per game while ranking in the 95th percentile.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons to be the 7th-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 54.4% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Atlanta Falcons have called the 2nd-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a mere 55.1 plays per game.
The Atlanta Falcons O-line ranks as the 5th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a harmful effect on all pass attack statistics across the board.
Cordarrelle Patterson's receiving reliability have tailed off this year, with his Completion% falling off from 83.1% to 58.5%.
Cordarrelle Patterson's receiving effectiveness has declined this year, totaling just 3.66 yards-per-target vs a 8.28 figure last year.