Cordarrelle Patterson Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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NFL · Player Props

Cordarrelle Patterson

RB · Atlanta Falcons

Receiving Yards

Seattle Seahawks vs Atlanta Falcons · Week 3, 2022

Updated Sep 25, 2022 7:30 PM UTC

Analysis

Cordarrelle Patterson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-120/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Opposing offenses have averaged 35.9 pass attempts per game against the Seattle Seahawks defense since the start of last season: 9th-most in the NFL.
THE BLITZ projects Cordarrelle Patterson to earn 3.4 targets in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 84th percentile among running backs.
Cordarrelle Patterson has put up a monstrous 15.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 100th percentile among RBs. (That may not sound like a lot, but most RBs have negative air yards because they are targeted behind the line of scrimmage).
Cordarrelle Patterson's 22.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) puts him in the company of the best in football: 96th percentile for RBs.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons as the 4th-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 53.1% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-least plays run on the slate this week at 118.8 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Atlanta Falcons have run the 2nd-least plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a lowly 59.0 plays per game.
The Atlanta Falcons O-line profiles as the 3rd-worst in the league since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a harmful effect on all air attack statistics across the board.
Cordarrelle Patterson's sure-handedness have worsened this season, with his Completion% falling off from 83.1% to 53.3%.