Cordarrelle Patterson Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 16

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Cordarrelle Patterson

NFL · Player Props

Cordarrelle Patterson

RB · Atlanta Falcons

Receiving Yards

Baltimore Ravens vs Atlanta Falcons · Week 16, 2022

Updated Dec 25, 2022 12:16 AM UTC

Analysis

Cordarrelle Patterson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (+103/-137).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -122 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -137.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Falcons are a 6.5-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating a passing game script.
The Atlanta Falcons O-line profiles as the 6th-best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive effect on all pass game metrics across the board.
The Baltimore Ravens defense has conceded the 8th-most receiving yards per game in the league (41.0) vs. RBs this year.
The Baltimore Ravens pass defense has yielded the 8th-highest Completion% in the NFL (83.9%) to running backs this year (83.9%).
The Baltimore Ravens pass defense has displayed poor efficiency vs. running backs this year, allowing 6.55 yards-per-target to the position: the 7th-most in football.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons as the 3rd-least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 44.5% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 122.2 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Atlanta Falcons have called the 3rd-least plays in the league this year, totaling just 53.6 plays per game.
The forecast calls for 16-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.
Cordarrelle Patterson has compiled significantly fewer air yards this season (6.0 per game) than he did last season (16.0 per game).

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