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Cordarrelle Patterson

Cordarrelle Patterson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 15

New Orleans Saints vs Atlanta Falcons

Cordarrelle Patterson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+105/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -140.
  • The Falcons are a 5.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • The Atlanta Falcons offensive line profiles as the 10th-best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive effect on all pass game statistics across the board.
  • The New Orleans Saints defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks 2.55 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 4th-slowest in the NFL since the start of last season.
  • The Atlanta Falcons have gone up against a stacked the box on 17.6% of their plays since the start of last season, 10th-most in the league. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

  • THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons to be the 6th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 50.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 126.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Atlanta Falcons have run the least plays in football this year, averaging a mere 52.7 plays per game.
  • Cordarrelle Patterson has accrued far fewer air yards this season (3.0 per game) than he did last season (16.0 per game).
  • Cordarrelle Patterson's 12.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly lower this season than it was last season at 23.2.

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