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Cordarrelle Patterson

Cordarrelle Patterson Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 1

Atlanta Falcons vs New Orleans Saints

Cordarrelle Patterson Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+390/-816).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +411 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +390.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Falcons are a 5.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to a passing game script.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Cordarrelle Patterson has been a key part of his team's passing attack near the end zone, garnering a Red Zone Target Share of 13.8% since the start of last season, which puts him in the 92nd percentile among RBs.

Cordarrelle Patterson has accrued a colossal 16.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 100th percentile among running backs.

Cordarrelle Patterson's 23.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) puts him in the company of the best in the league: 97th percentile for running backs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Atlanta Falcons have run the 2nd-least plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a lowly 58.5 plays per game.

The Atlanta Falcons offensive line grades out as the 3rd-worst in the league since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful effect on all pass game statistics across the board.

The New Orleans Saints pass defense has surrendered the 2nd-lowest Completion% in the NFL (71.9%) versus running backs since the start of last season (71.9%).

The New Orleans Saints linebackers grade out as the 4th-best LB corps in football since the start of last season in pass coverage.

The Atlanta Falcons offensive line has given their quarterback a measly 2.41 seconds before getting pressured (8th-worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all pass attack stats across the board.

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