Cordarrelle Patterson Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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Cordarrelle Patterson

NFL · Player Props

Cordarrelle Patterson

RB · Atlanta Falcons

Carries

Atlanta Falcons vs Cleveland Browns · Week 4, 2022

Updated Oct 2, 2022 4:10 PM UTC

Analysis

Cordarrelle Patterson Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-109/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -119 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons to be the 7th-most run-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 45.6% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Cordarrelle Patterson has been a much bigger part of his team's run game this season (59.3% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last season (45.4%).
The Cleveland Browns defensive tackles rank as the 6th-worst DT corps in the NFL since the start of last season in regard to run defense.

Favors Under

The Atlanta Falcons have called the 2nd-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a mere 55.1 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
The Atlanta Falcons have faced a stacked the box on 17.6% of their plays since the start of last season, 10th-most in the league. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

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