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Cordarrelle Patterson

Cordarrelle Patterson Carries
Player Prop Week 15

New Orleans Saints vs Atlanta Falcons

 
 
 
Cordarrelle Patterson Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-106/-124).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -112 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -124.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons to be the 6th-most run-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 49.1% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • Cordarrelle Patterson has garnered 42.5% of his team's carries this year, ranking in the 78th percentile among RBs.
  • The Atlanta Falcons offensive line profiles as the best in the NFL this year at blocking for rushers.
  • The New Orleans Saints have stacked the box versus opponents on just 13.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 9th-least in the NFL. Choosing not to position an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Falcons are a 5.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 126.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Atlanta Falcons have run the least plays in football this year, averaging a mere 52.7 plays per game.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • The New Orleans Saints defensive ends project as the 7th-best unit in football this year in regard to run defense.

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