Cooper Rush TD Passes - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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NFL · Player Props

Cooper Rush

QB · Dallas Cowboys

TD Passes

New York Giants vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 3, 2022

Updated Sep 27, 2022 12:15 AM UTC

Analysis

Cooper Rush TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+194/-288).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -200 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -288.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Dallas Cowboys will be forced to use backup quarterback Cooper Rush in this game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the smallest volume of plays run among all games this week at 129.9 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Dallas Cowboys have called the 2nd-most plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a whopping 66.4 plays per game.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 35.7 pass attempts per game against the New York Giants defense since the start of last season: 10th-most in the league.
The Dallas Cowboys offensive line profiles as the best in the league since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a strong impact on all passing game stats across the board.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys to be the 2nd-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 57.1% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys as the least pass-oriented team in the NFL near the end zone (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 55.3% red zone pass rate.
The Dallas Cowboys have played in the 2nd-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the NFL since the start of last season, which ought to result in lower pass volume, increased running volume, and reduced offense efficiency when facing windier conditions this week.
THE BLITZ projects Cooper Rush to attempt 33.8 passes in this week's game, on average: the 3rd-least of all quarterbacks.
Cooper Rush's throwing precision has worsened this year, with his Completion% decreasing from 62.7% to 56.1%.