Cooper Rush Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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NFL · Player Props

Cooper Rush

QB · Dallas Cowboys

Rushing Yards

Philadelphia Eagles vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 6, 2022

Updated Oct 16, 2022 11:51 PM EST

Analysis

Cooper Rush Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys to be the 9th-most run-heavy offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now with a 41.6% run rate.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the most plays run out of all the games this week at 138.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Cooper Rush to be a more important option in his offense's rushing attack this week (7.1% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (1.6% in games he has played).
The Dallas Cowboys have been faced with a stacked the box on just 13.3% of their plays since the start of last season, 8th-least in the NFL. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
The Dallas Cowboys have gone no-huddle on 12.6% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (9th-most in the NFL). This quickens the pace, leading to more volume and stat-padding.

Favors Under

The Dallas Cowboys will be rolling with backup quarterback Cooper Rush in this game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
The Cowboys are a 6.5-point underdog in this game, likely creating a passing game script.
The weatherman calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Cooper Rush to accumulate 2.0 rush attempts in this game, on average: the 2nd-least of all quarterbacks.
Cooper Rush has generated a mere 2.0 yards per game on the ground this year, one of the smallest marks in football among quarterbacks (15th percentile).