Cooper Rush Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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Cooper Rush

NFL · Player Props

Cooper Rush

QB · Dallas Cowboys

Rushing Yards

Dallas Cowboys vs Washington Commanders · Week 4, 2022

Updated Oct 2, 2022 11:20 PM UTC

Analysis

Cooper Rush Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-105/-126).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -108 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -126.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Cowboys are a 3-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys as the 9th-most run-oriented offense in the league (adjusted for context) right now with a 40.7% run rate.
THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys offense as the 4th-quickest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 26.45 seconds per play.
The Dallas Cowboys O-line profiles as the best in the NFL since the start of last season at opening holes for runners.
The Dallas Cowboys have been faced with a stacked the box on a mere 13.3% of their plays since the start of last season, 8th-least in football. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

Favors Under

The Dallas Cowboys will be forced to use backup QB Cooper Rush in this game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Cooper Rush to garner 2.2 carries this week, on average: the 5th-least of all QBs.
Cooper Rush has averaged a mere 1.0 rushing yards per game since the start of last season, one of the smallest marks in the NFL among QBs (8th percentile).
The Washington Commanders defensive ends project as the 5th-best collection of DEs in the NFL since the start of last season when it comes to stopping the run.

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