Cooper Kupp Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Cooper Kupp

NFL · Player Props

Cooper Kupp

WR · Seattle Seahawks

Touchdowns

Seattle Seahawks vs Kansas City Chiefs · Week 7, 2026

Updated Oct 25, 2026 8:22 PM EST

Analysis

Cooper Kupp Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+426/-488).

Key Factors

Favors Over

At the present time, the 9th-fastest paced offense in football (context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the Seahawks.
Calm weather conditions (like the 2-mph wind being predicted in this game) usually cause increased passing effectiveness, increased TD potential, increased pass volume, and reduced rush volume.
While Cooper Kupp has accounted for 7.7% of his team's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the model projects him to be a more important option in Seattle's offense near the end zone in this week's contest at 14.2%.
Opposing teams have rushed for the 5th-fewest touchdowns in football (0.60 per game) against the Chiefs defense this year.
The Kansas City Chiefs linebackers project as the 5th-best unit in football this year in regard to defending the run.

Favors Under

The Seahawks are a 3-point favorite in this game, likely creating a running game script.
The predictive model expects the Seattle Seahawks as the 8th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 57.3% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
At the present time, the 6th-most run-centric team in football near the end zone (47.0% context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Seattle Seahawks.
Cooper Kupp's 29.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that assesses high-value offensive volume) has been notably worse this year than it was last year at 37.9.
The Chiefs defense has yielded the fewest TDs through the air in football to wideouts: 0.00 per game this year.

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