Cooper Kupp Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Cooper Kupp

NFL · Player Props

Cooper Kupp

WR · Seattle Seahawks

Touchdowns

Seattle Seahawks vs San Francisco 49ers · Week 5, 2026

Updated Oct 11, 2026 4:17 PM EST

Analysis

Cooper Kupp Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+413/-441).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 38.5 pass attempts per game against the 49ers defense this year: 6th-most in the league.
While Cooper Kupp has received 4.8% of his offense's red zone targets in games he has played this year, our trusted projections expect him to be a more important option in Seattle's pass game near the goal line in this week's contest at 10.7%.
When it comes to pass protection (and the strong effect it has on all passing attack statistics), the offensive line of the Seahawks grades out as the 10th-best in the NFL this year.
Cooper Kupp's 76.2% Adjusted Completion Rate this season marks a meaningful progression in his pass-catching prowess over last season's 70.4% rate.
The opposing side have rushed for the 6th-fewest TDs in football (0.50 per game) against the 49ers defense this year.

Favors Under

This game's spread implies a rushing game script for the Seahawks, who are favored by 3 points.
Our trusted projections expect the Seahawks to be the 8th-most run-oriented offense in the NFL near the end zone (adjusted for context) right now with a 46.6% red zone run rate.
Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Seahawks are predicted by the projection model to call just 62.8 plays on offense in this contest: the 7th-lowest number on the slate this week.
The 10th-smallest volume of plays in football have been called by the Seattle Seahawks this year (a measly 54.0 per game on average).
After accumulating 37.0 air yards per game last year, Cooper Kupp has regressed heavily this year, currently sitting at 29.0 per game.

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