Cooper Kupp Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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NFL · Player Props

Cooper Kupp

WR · Seattle Seahawks

Touchdowns

Seattle Seahawks vs Los Angeles Chargers · Week 4, 2026

Updated Sep 30, 2026 10:12 AM EST

Analysis

Cooper Kupp Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+296/-404).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ 0 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -404.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The projections expect Cooper Kupp to be much more involved in his offense's air attack near the goal line in this contest (10.7% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (5.6% in games he has played).
Cooper Kupp's 81.7% Adjusted Completion Rate this season illustrates an impressive growth in his receiving prowess over last season's 70.4% figure.
The Los Angeles Chargers linebackers profile as the 2nd-worst unit in the league since the start of last season in pass coverage.

Favors Under

This game's spread suggests an extreme running game script for the Seahawks, who are a massive favorite by 7 points.
The predictive model expects the Seattle Seahawks to be the 10th-most run-focused offense in the NFL near the goal line (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 46.0% red zone run rate.
At the moment, the most sluggish paced team in the league (in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Seahawks.
Opposing offenses teams have been disinclined to lean on the pass against the Chargers, averaging the 2nd-fewest attempts in football (just 29.4 per game) since the start of last season.
Since the start of last season, the formidable Chargers defense has conceded a mere 66.2% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the 4th-smallest rate in football.