Cooper Kupp Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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Cooper Kupp

NFL · Player Props

Cooper Kupp

WR · Seattle Seahawks

Touchdowns

Seattle Seahawks vs Los Angeles Chargers · Week 4, 2026

Updated Oct 4, 2026 4:22 PM EST

Analysis

Cooper Kupp Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+376/-413).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Calm weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being called for in this game) generally correlate with better passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher air attack volume, and reduced rush volume.
The projections expect Cooper Kupp to be much more involved in his offense's air attack near the goal line in this contest (12.0% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (5.6% in games he has played).
Cooper Kupp's 81.7% Adjusted Completion Rate this season illustrates an impressive growth in his receiving prowess over last season's 70.4% figure.
The Los Angeles Chargers linebackers profile as the 2nd-worst unit in the league since the start of last season in pass coverage.

Favors Under

This game's spread suggests an extreme running game script for the Seahawks, who are a massive favorite by 7 points.
The predictive model expects the Seattle Seahawks to be the 10th-most run-focused offense in the NFL near the goal line (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 46.2% red zone run rate.
At the moment, the 8th-most sluggish paced team in the league (in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Seahawks.
Opposing offenses teams have been disinclined to lean on the pass against the Chargers, averaging the 2nd-fewest attempts in football (just 29.4 per game) since the start of last season.
Since the start of last season, the formidable Chargers defense has conceded a mere 66.2% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the 4th-smallest rate in football.

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