Cooper Kupp Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Cooper Kupp

NFL · Player Props

Cooper Kupp

WR · Seattle Seahawks

Touchdowns

Washington Commanders vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 3, 2026

Updated Sep 27, 2026 8:32 PM EST

Analysis

Cooper Kupp Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+456/-506).

Key Factors

Favors Over

With a remarkable 71.0% Adjusted Completion Rate (78th percentile) since the start of last season, Cooper Kupp stands as one of the most reliable receivers in the league among wideouts.
Since the start of last season, the feeble Commanders pass defense has been gouged for a massive 67.9% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing wideouts: the 3rd-biggest rate in the NFL.
The Commanders defense has been gouged for the 6th-most receiving TDs in football to WRs: 1.05 per game since the start of last season.
As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in run defense, Washington's unit has been very good since the start of last season, grading out as the 4th-best in the NFL.

Favors Under

With a 6.5-point advantage, the Seahawks are favored in this game, indicating more of an emphasis on running than their standard approach.
The leading projections forecast the Seahawks to be the 2nd-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 51.0% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
The predictive model expects the Seahawks to be the 4th-most run-focused team in the NFL near the goal line (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 47.7% red zone run rate.
The predictive model expects this game to see the 3rd-lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 121.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Seahawks have run the 5th-fewest plays in football since the start of last season, averaging just 54.3 plays per game.

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