Cooper Kupp Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+441/-506).
Key Factors
Favors Over
The Seattle Seahawks may rely on the pass game less in this week's game (and call more carries) because they be forced to start backup quarterback Drew Lock.
The passing games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may fall-off.
Cooper Kupp has been a big part of his team's offense near the goal line, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 19.0% since the start of last season, which puts him in the 82nd percentile when it comes to wideouts.
Cooper Kupp profiles as one of the most sure-handed receivers in the NFL, hauling in a terrific 70.2% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) since the start of last season, ranking in the 78th percentile among wideouts.
Favors Under
With a 4-point advantage, the Seahawks are favored in this week's contest, implying more of a reliance on rushing than their usual game plan.
Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Seattle Seahawks to pass on 54.4% of their opportunities: the 9th-lowest clip on the slate this week.
At the moment, the 3rd-most run-heavy team in the NFL near the end zone (47.6% context-neutralized) according to the projections is the Seahawks.
The model projects this game to have the 4th-fewest plays run out of all the games this week at 125.1 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The 5th-lowest number of plays in football have been called by the Seahawks since the start of last season (just 53.9 per game on average).