Cooper Kupp Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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Cooper Kupp

NFL · Player Props

Cooper Kupp

WR · Seattle Seahawks

Touchdowns

Seattle Seahawks vs New England Patriots · Week 1, 2026

Updated Sep 9, 2026 9:47 PM EST

Analysis

Cooper Kupp Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+350/-400).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still weather conditions (4-mph wind) being called for in this game, while run volume may suffer.
With an outstanding 70.7% Adjusted Catch Rate (80th percentile) last year, Cooper Kupp ranks among the most reliable receivers in the NFL when it comes to wide receivers.
Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 6th-highest rate in the league against the New England Patriots defense last year (73.2% Adjusted Completion%).
Last year, the imposing Patriots run defense has yielded a paltry 0.65 rushing TDs per game to opposing offenses: the 4th-lowest rate in the league.

Favors Under

This game's spread indicates a running game script for the Seahawks, who are favored by 3.5 points.
Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is predicted by our trusted projection set to see just 123.0 total plays called: the 2nd-fewest on the slate this week.
The 7th-lowest number of plays in the league have been called by the Seahawks last year (a mere 54.4 per game on average).
While Cooper Kupp has earned 20.0% of his offense's red zone targets in games he has played last year, the projections expect him to be a less important option in Seattle's pass game near the goal line this week at 14.5%.

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