Cooper Kupp Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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NFL · Player Props

Cooper Kupp

WR · Seattle Seahawks

Receptions

Seattle Seahawks vs New England Patriots · Week 1, 2026

Updated Sep 9, 2026 9:47 PM EST

Analysis

Cooper Kupp Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-155/+122).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +125 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +122.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still weather conditions (4-mph wind) being called for in this game, while run volume may suffer.
Cooper Kupp has run a route on 83.7% of his team's dropbacks last year, ranking him in the 77th percentile among wideouts.
With an outstanding 70.7% Adjusted Catch Rate (80th percentile) last year, Cooper Kupp ranks among the most reliable receivers in the NFL when it comes to wide receivers.
Last year, the deficient New England Patriots pass defense has conceded a whopping 67.2% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing WRs: the 7th-highest rate in football.

Favors Under

This game's spread indicates a running game script for the Seahawks, who are favored by 3.5 points.
Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is predicted by our trusted projection set to see just 123.0 total plays called: the 2nd-fewest on the slate this week.
The 7th-lowest number of plays in the league have been called by the Seahawks last year (a mere 54.4 per game on average).