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Cooper Kupp

Cooper Kupp Receptions
Player Prop Week 4

Arizona Cardinals vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
Cooper Kupp Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-138/+132).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -190 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ +132.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects the Seahawks offense to be the 10th-quickest paced team in the league (adjusted for context) at the present time, averaging 27.80 seconds per snap.
  • The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may decline.
  • The Cardinals defense has been something of pass funnel since the start of last season, leading opposing offenses to attempt the 9th-most passes in the NFL (33.9 per game) since the start of last season.
  • The leading projections forecast Cooper Kupp to earn 6.6 targets this week, on average, putting him in the 76th percentile among wideouts.
  • With a top-tier 25.3% Target Rate (89th percentile) since the start of last season, Cooper Kupp places as one of the WRs with the highest volume in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects the Seahawks offensive blueprint to skew 7.0% more towards rushing than it did last season (context-neutralized) with offensive coordinator Klint Kubiak now calling the plays.
  • Right now, the 4th-least pass-oriented offense in the NFL (57.9% context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the Seahawks.
  • The Seattle offensive line grades out as the 4th-worst in football since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a negative effect on all pass attack metrics across the board.
  • Cooper Kupp's 2.8 adjusted catches per game this season represents a noteworthy reduction in his receiving skills over last season's 5.5 rate.
  • The Cardinals linebackers profile as the 8th-best group of LBs in the NFL since the start of last season in covering receivers.

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