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Cooper Kupp

Cooper Kupp Receptions
Player Prop Week 3

Seattle Seahawks vs New Orleans Saints

Cooper Kupp Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-104/-129).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +114 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -104.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is expected by the projection model to have 138.9 offensive plays run: the highest number on the slate this week.

Opposing teams have averaged 34.4 pass attempts per game versus the Saints defense since the start of last season: 8th-most in the league.

In this game, Cooper Kupp is anticipated by the projection model to secure a spot in the 78th percentile among wide receivers with 6.8 targets.

With an extraordinary 25.8% Target% (89th percentile) since the start of last season, Cooper Kupp has been as one of the WRs with the biggest workloads in football.

Cooper Kupp grades out as one of the leading wide receivers in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 5.4 adjusted receptions per game while ranking in the 90th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Seattle Seahawks boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Klint Kubiak, and the projections expect their pass/run mix to lean 6.7% more towards rushing than it did last year (in a neutral context).

This week's spread indicates an extreme running game script for the Seahawks, who are overwhelmingly favored by 7 points.

The leading projections forecast the Seattle Seahawks as the 3rd-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 51.0% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

The Seahawks have called the 8th-fewest plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a mere 55.9 plays per game.

The Seattle Seahawks O-line ranks as the worst in the league since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a negative impact on all passing attack metrics across the board.

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