Cooper Kupp Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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NFL · Player Props

Cooper Kupp

WR · Seattle Seahawks

Receiving Yards

Washington Commanders vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 3, 2026

Updated Sep 27, 2026 8:32 PM EST

Analysis

Cooper Kupp Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-104/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -122 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

With a remarkable 71.0% Adjusted Completion Rate (78th percentile) since the start of last season, Cooper Kupp stands as one of the most reliable receivers in the league among wideouts.
Cooper Kupp grades out as one of the most effective pass-catchers in football, averaging a fantastic 9.26 adjusted yards-per-target since the start of last season while grading out in the 80th percentile when it comes to wideouts.
Since the start of last season, the feeble Commanders pass defense has been gouged for a massive 67.9% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing wideouts: the 3rd-biggest rate in the NFL.
The Commanders pass defense has displayed weak efficiency versus wideouts since the start of last season, conceding 9.01 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 5th-most in the NFL.
As it relates to safeties in defending receivers, Washington's collection of safeties has been dreadful since the start of last season, ranking as the 4th-worst in the league.

Favors Under

With a 6.5-point advantage, the Seahawks are favored in this game, indicating more of an emphasis on running than their standard approach.
The leading projections forecast the Seahawks to be the 2nd-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 51.0% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
The predictive model expects this game to see the 3rd-lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 121.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Seahawks have run the 5th-fewest plays in football since the start of last season, averaging just 54.3 plays per game.
The forecast calls for 17-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.