Cooper Kupp Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Cooper Kupp

NFL · Player Props

Cooper Kupp

WR · Los Angeles Rams

Receiving Yards

Baltimore Ravens vs Los Angeles Rams · Week 14, 2023

Updated Dec 10, 2023 6:01 PM UTC

Analysis

Cooper Kupp Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 45.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 46.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 45.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This week's spread implies an extreme throwing game script for the Rams, who are huge -7.5-point underdogs.
Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Los Angeles Rams to pass on 60.0% of their downs: the 9th-greatest frequency on the slate this week.
At the present time, the 10th-quickest paced offense in football (context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Los Angeles Rams.
The Baltimore Ravens defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, causing opposing offenses to attempt the 4th-most passes in the league (39.1 per game) this year.
Our trusted projections expect Cooper Kupp to earn 9.1 targets this week, on balance, placing him in the 90th percentile when it comes to WRs.

Favors Under

Cooper Kupp's 65.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that assesses high-value offensive usage) has been quite a bit lower this year than it was last year at 73.8.
Cooper Kupp's 53.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this year illustrates an impressive decrease in his pass-catching ability over last year's 84.0 figure.
Cooper Kupp's ball-catching skills have worsened this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate decreasing from 76.4% to 57.7%.
Cooper Kupp checks in as one of the least efficient receivers in the league, averaging a lowly 7.38 adjusted yards-per-target this year while grading out in the 22nd percentile when it comes to WRs
Cooper Kupp's ability to pick up extra yardage has worsened this season, averaging a mere 4.67 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 6.91 figure last season.

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