Cooper Kupp Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Cooper Kupp

NFL · Player Props

Cooper Kupp

WR · Los Angeles Rams

Receiving TD

Los Angeles Rams vs Carolina Panthers · Week 6, 2022

Updated Oct 16, 2022 11:51 PM UTC

Analysis

Cooper Kupp Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-123/-107).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -123.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Cooper Kupp has been an integral part of his team's offense near the end zone, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 30.8% this year, which ranks in the 93rd percentile among WRs.
Cooper Kupp has totaled a monstrous 99.0 air yards per game this year: 92nd percentile among wideouts.
Cooper Kupp's 77.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks among the league leaders: 99th percentile for wideouts.
Cooper Kupp's sure-handedness have improved this season, with his Completion% jumping from 75.4% to 78.8%.

Favors Under

The Rams are a heavy 10-point favorite in this game, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Rams offense to be the 10th-slowest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 28.74 seconds per play.
The Los Angeles Rams offensive line grades out as the worst in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a harmful effect on all passing attack stats across the board.
The Carolina Panthers defense has surrendered the 8th-least touchdowns through the air in football to WRs: 0.60 per game this year.
The Carolina Panthers pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing QBs just 2.31 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the quickest in football since the start of last season.

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