My Account Log Out

reorder

Cooper Kupp

Cooper Kupp Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 1

Los Angeles Rams vs Buffalo Bills

Cooper Kupp Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-134/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -132 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -134.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Rams to run the 4th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 64.6 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The forecast calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

Opposing offenses have averaged 31.9 pass attempts per game vs. the Buffalo Bills defense since the start of last season: 9th-least in the league.

Cooper Kupp has been a big part of his team's offense near the end zone, garnering a Red Zone Target Share of 33.3% since the start of last season, which ranks in the 100th percentile among WRs.

Cooper Kupp has notched a colossal 96.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 94th percentile among wideouts.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Los Angeles Rams have played in the 2nd-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the league since the start of last season, which should lead to lower pass volume, higher running volume, and reduced passing offense efficiency when facing windier conditions in this week's contest.

The Buffalo Bills pass defense has allowed the 3rd-lowest Completion% in football (60.9%) vs. WRs since the start of last season (60.9%).

The Buffalo Bills defense has allowed the least passing TDs in the NFL to WRs: 0.35 per game since the start of last season.

The Buffalo Bills safeties rank as the best collection of safeties in the league since the start of last season in pass coverage.

The Los Angeles Rams have used play action on just 21.0% of their dropbacks since the start of last season (5th-least in the NFL), creating a more one-dimensional offense that hurts passing production.

More Cooper Kupp Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™