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Connor Heyward

Connor Heyward Receptions
Player Prop Week 9

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Tennessee Titans

 
 
 
Connor Heyward Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The projections expect the Steelers offense to be the quickest paced team in football (context-neutralized) at the moment, averaging 26.02 seconds per snap.
  • Our trusted projections expect Connor Heyward to accumulate 3.9 targets in this contest, on average, putting him in the 77th percentile when it comes to TEs.
  • With a RATE1-RATE2 point gain in WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that weighs high-value offensive involvement) from last season to this one, Connor Heyward has been more heavily utilized in his offense's pass attack.
  • The Titans pass defense has given up the 9th-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (78.3%) to TEs this year (78.3%).
  • The Tennessee Titans linebackers project as the 5th-worst unit in the league this year in covering receivers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 3-point advantage, the Steelers are favored this week, indicating more of a focus on running than their normal game plan.
  • In regards to pass protection (and the effect it has on all pass attack statistics), the O-line of the Pittsburgh Steelers ranks as the 6th-worst in the league this year.
  • Connor Heyward's sure-handedness have declined this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate shrinking from 81.3% to 67.7%.

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