Colt McCoy TD Passes - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Colt McCoy

NFL · Player Props

Colt McCoy

QB · Arizona Cardinals

TD Passes

Los Angeles Rams vs Arizona Cardinals · Week 10, 2022

Updated Nov 14, 2022 1:06 AM UTC

Analysis

Colt McCoy TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+161/-213).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +174 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +161.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Arizona Cardinals will be forced to utilize backup quarterback Colt McCoy in this game, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
The Cardinals are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards a passing game script.
The Arizona Cardinals have run the most plays in the league this year, totaling a colossal 64.8 plays per game.
The weather forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
The Los Angeles Rams safeties profile as the 5th-worst group of safeties in the league this year in covering receivers.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Arizona Cardinals to be the 9th-least pass-oriented offense in the NFL near the end zone (in a neutral context) right now with a 55.2% red zone pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 5th-least plays run among all games this week at 128.1 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing offenses have averaged 33.9 pass attempts per game vs. the Los Angeles Rams defense this year: 9th-least in football.
The Arizona Cardinals O-line has given their quarterback a measly 2.34 seconds before getting pressured (2nd-worst in football since the start of last season), which has a negative impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.
The Los Angeles Rams defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks just 2.37 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 4th-quickest in the league since the start of last season.

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